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RoadRockies

It’s not just the the front office looking for a reset; the players want to be taken seriously, too.

Renee Dechert

Apr 22, 2022


For the last year, the Rockies have largely been defined by what they don’t have: Nolan Arenado, Trevor Story, Jon Gray, competent leadership, an analytics department, a respected farm system.

Stories about the team tend to begin by focusing on players who are no longer with the organization rather than those who are. To its credit, the organization has attempted to address those on-the-field missing pieces — incidentally, the Rockies are ranked eighth in total offseason spending. That money paid for signing free agents Kris Bryant, Alex Colomé, José Iglesias, and Chad Kuhl in addition to signing extensions with CJ Cron, Elias Díaz, Kyle Freeland, Ryan McMahon, and Antonio Senzatela. With the exception of the Bryant signings, these have been unsexy moves, but the Rockies have tried to replace what was missing.

Still, the narrative of lack has provided an easy talking point.

Last week, I wrote about the Rockies using 2022 as the “UnArenado Year,” a time to change the narrative surrounding this team, and I still think that’s true. But over the course of last week, I began wondering if I had missed a key element of those involved in this attempt to shift the story: The players.

Here’s when I first noticed it.

After the Rockies defeated the Phillies on Tuesday night, CJ Cron was the subject of a Marc Stout interview. In this midst of that discussion, Cron, who is not an especially loquacious person, said something that struck me enough that I tweeted it.

Twitter avatar for @307ReneeRenee Dechert @307Renee

Cron just said in the post-game, “Everyone wants to be here. Everyone wants to commit.” No editorializing here. Just sensing a theme.

3:52 AM ∙ Apr 20, 2022


Here’s the full quote and video: “Everyone wants to be here. We want to commit. We want to win ballgames for this city.”

Two points are notable. First, Cron makes clear that he’s made a choice to stay in Denver; second, in mentioning “this city,” he’s tying that decision to the relationship the players have with fans.

Then, on Wednesday, after the Rockies had lost and were probably on a plane to Detroit, Alan Trejo liked the tweet, a suggestion of agreement.

That’s when I decided perhaps this was worth exploring. As it turns out, “I want to be here” is a theme. Consider a few examples:

  • Kris Bryant (April 3, 2022): “We’re in a division that is very, very competitive where they could just roll over and say we don’t really want to sign guys. But they did it with me and Ryan McMahon and Senzatela and Márquez. It says a lot about the people running the show here. I’m so glad this is my home. This is where I want to be.”
  • Kyle Freeland (April 20, 2022): “With Mac signing, I truly started to see everything shaping the way we want it, with Bill’s vision, with Dick’s vision and our front office. Obviously, Kris Bryant’s signing was massive and signing [pitcher Antonio] Senzatela last year. Those pieces started falling into place. I was starting to see the big picture, and it was something I wanted to buy into.”
  • Ryan McMahon (March 24, 2022): “When I sat down and thought about where I wanted to be and who I wanted to play with and who I wanted to be around, everything lined up with here, and I was just really excited that they reached out to me and wanted to do this. And, obviously, adding Kris Bryant helped, the deals we have Márquez and and Senza for at least another what, four or five years? So just knowing that all those guys were going to be around, and hopefully we do some more with some of the other guys here, and I'm sure sure we'll keep getting better.”

The specific language may change, but the sentiment remains the same: I have chosen to be here.

The last two years have surely been embarrassing (if not humiliating) for the Rockies ownership and front office. For fans, they have been demoralizing because they lead to comments like this:

Twitter avatar for @Clant1015Zach Clanton @Clant1015

I don’t know if Rockies fans, exist…but I’m truly sorry for you all. What are they doing?

2:05 AM ∙ Mar 17, 2022

Rockies fans do, in fact, exist, and they aren’t looking for pity: They’re looking for a winning team.

Perhaps, then, the players, too, feel a need to change the narrative. They are telling their peers on other teams and the media that Coors Field is not some Rocky Mountain Island of Misfit Toys, a team built of players with no other choice.

Rather, these players are asserting agency: That this team isn’t wrought by chaos; that not everyone is looking to leave; that they enjoy playing together; and that they believe they can compete.

We’ll know more about the viability of the 2022 Rockies when their first road trip has ended next week. But let me offer an utterly anecdotal observation about the shifting narrative.

Purple Row Twitter tends to be my fan barometer — the PR feed often finds itself on the receiving end of fan frustration. Since the 2022 season started with the Rockies winning, there’s not been so much “Too bad Dick Monfort paid the Cardinals $50 million to take Nolan Arenado” and “Remember, Trevor Story felt he had to leave to win” and “SELL THE TEAM, DICK,” and “Why did the Rockies sign Kris Bryant for all that money? They need to rebuild!”

Instead, fans are paying attention to what’s happening with the team and less to where those former fan favorites. It turns out, winning matters when it comes to changing the narrative.

Then there are games like this one against the Cubs:

Twitter avatar for @RoxGifsVidsRoxGifsVids @RoxGifsVids

The Rockies turned 5 double plays against the Cubs tonight

3:35 AM ∙ Apr 15, 2022


When the Rockies are doing things like ranking third in turning double plays, the defensive losses of Arenado and Story seem less acute — less personal.

When CJ Cron’s six home runs lead MLB (Nolan Arenado has five), fans start to think less about what was and more about what’s happening now and what may be. They begin to hope and invest in the team.

Right now, the early (and, again, anecdotal) indications suggest that the old narrative surrounding the Rockies is shifting — the players’ statements as well as their play on the field will be essential to the success of this undertaking.

However, it’s early. When the Rockies hit those low points — and they will because that’s how baseball works — then we’ll see how successful the organization has been in redefining itself.

By the way, an important part of the players redefining themselves involves losing the #RoadRockies label they earned in 2021. When a team finishes with a road record of 26-54 and an early possibility of being the worst road team in baseball history, it leaves a mark.

This video from the Rockies’ two-game sweep of the Rangers bears keeping in mind:

Twitter avatar for @RockiesColorado Rockies @Rockies

🗣ROAD ROX W NEVER A DOUBT

3:30 AM ∙ Apr 13, 2022


That the Rockies used this video on their social media shows that the team understands the stakes. That they have recognized this history — indeed, are ridiculing it — and are attempting to set it right is in alignment with “We want to be here.”

Narratives matter.

We’ll see how it goes in Detroit and then Philadelphia.

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Extended!

  • I thought Mike Petriello’s take was right on the Kyle Freeland extension. Also, I’ve got to say that I’ve found it impossible to envision as with any team but the Rockies — his brand is so tied to being the “hometown kid.”

Twitter avatar for @mike_petrielloMike Petriello @mike_petriello

I like this for the Rockies. I think Freeland's a little overrated in that he's never going to be that 2018 guy again, but he's good enough and it's impossible for them to attract FA SP. If he wants to be there, you have him stay there.

Twitter avatar for @JeffPassanJeff Passan @JeffPassan

Left-hander Kyle Freeland and the Colorado Rockies are in agreement on a five-year, $64.5 million contract that includes a sixth-year player option, sources familiar with the deal told ESPN. Freeland, a homegrown player and Denver native, is staying home through at least 2026.

8:29 PM ∙ Apr 19, 2022


Down on the Farm

Twitter avatar for @blakestbanterBlake Street Banter ⚾🌮 @blakestbanter

He goes 98-98-96-89 to get the first out. Riley is still nasty

1:42 AM ∙ Apr 22, 2022


Old Friends

  • Some bad news for Greg Holland, but it’s good on the Rangers for letting him get 10 years of service time.

Twitter avatar for @ThreeTwoEephusLevi Weaver @ThreeTwoEephus

Greg Holland hit ten years of service time this weekend, and now he’s been DFA’d https://t.co/Q4LtP3thFV

Twitter avatar for @TXRangersPRTexas Rangers PR @TXRangersPR

Roster moves for Tuesday: – RHP Jon Gray activated from 10-day Injured List. – RHP Greg Holland designated for assignment. Gray will be the starting pitcher for the Rangers' road trip opener tonight at Seattle.


  • Tom Murphy will always the the former Rockie I’ll wonder about. (Then again, he’s clearly landed well in Seattle.)

Twitter avatar for @Mariners_SourceMariners Source @Mariners_Source

You probably won't believe this, but Tom Murphy has the 4th most fWAR for a catcher in Mariners history.

7:07 AM ∙ Apr 16, 2022


What I’m Reading, Watching, and Listening To


Weekend Walk-off

I enjoyed this interview with Randal Grichuk. (Also, RoxPile had a nice pice here on the Rockies’ new outfielder.)

Twitter avatar for @RoxGifsVidsRoxGifsVids @RoxGifsVids

Randal Grichuk talks about playing with the Rockies and more on Pregame Spread

11:54 PM ∙ Apr 19, 2022


It’s also worth noting that Grichuk had been prepped on the Rocky Mountain oysters question that tripped up Kris Bryant last week. Still waiting for the follow up from KB on that one.

Thanks for reading —

Renee


For all the talk of draft and develop, 2021 data suggests some problems with the Rockies’ system.

Renee Dechert

Sep 3, 2021


Back in June, I wrote about the Rockies’ offense — it was not good then and has not improved much since. Here’s how all MLB teams rank in terms of wRC+ where 100 is league average.1

Source: FanGraphs

That’s right: The baseball team that plays half of its games at Coors Field is tied with the Pirates for the lowest wRC+ in baseball. That borders on unbelievable. The Rockies have hit 150 home runs — 10 of them grand slams, the most in Rockies history — which is 22nd in baseball. (For what it’s worth, the Rockies are better than the Cardinals with 147). By comparison, the Giants, who play half of their games at Oracle Park, lead the league in home runs with 201 (although Mike Petriello points out that recent changes to Oracle may be affecting the numbers). 

Also note that the top ten teams are all playoff contenders. Offense matters. Moreover, these teams have invested in data and/or personnel while the Rockies have had other priorities.

Now consider the wRC+ rankings of individual Rockies:

Source: FanGraphs

Three players are above average as measured by wRC+: C.J. Cron, Connor Joe, and Brendan Rodgers. The two best players, Cron and Joe, are not products of the Rockies’ development system; rather, both were signed as free agents in the offseason. For all the talk of the Rockies as a “draft-and-develop team,” they have not built a particularly good offense, at least as measured by wRC+, since 2017. 

That said, watching Brendan Rodgers come into his own has been a treat. He’s come to have a reliable presence at the plate. Trevor Story, Ryan McMahon, and Charlie Blackmon have all had disappointing years offensively though they are close to being league average, and McMahon has spent much of the season above it. 

One other point is worth noting: The Rockies outfield has little offensive value. Raimel Tapia, Yonathan Daza, Sam Hilliard, and Garrett Hampson have all had miserable years offensively. None of them is above 80 in terms of wRC+. If Hampson continues to shine as a center fielder, the Rockies may be able to compensate for his lack of offense, but they cannot continue to carry unproductive outfielders. 

All of this suggests possible systemic evaluation and developmental issues with the Rockies’ road record (18-50) indicating an even-more-pressing need to address the Coors Field effect.

As it turns out, this week, the Rockies began advertising for three “Baseball Operations Research and Development” positions. (Read the job listings here.) I don’t know enough about these jobs to evaluate what the Rockies are asking for, but I do know that $85,000-$95,000 for this kind of position is not a competitive salary. 

In related news, Thomas Harding reported that Bill Schmidt has begun filling positions in the Rockies’ front office. Schmidt insists the general manager position has not yet been determined, but all indications are that he has the job. (In this piece, Sheryl Ring explains how easy it is for front offices to get around the “Selig Rule,” so should Schmidt get the position, it would be no surprise.)

As Schmidt has made his media rounds, he has spoken — as Rockies general managers before him have — of the team’s reliance on drafting and developing players. wRC+ indicates that strategy as implemented by the Rockies has not been terribly successful for some time. If the Rockies plan to contend, they will need better data and new ideas. While it appears they’re trying to rebuild their depleted analytics department, low salaries suggest that the Rockies still aren’t terribly invested in the science. (Organizations spend money on things they value.) 

Similarly, front office promotions from within do nothing to contradict the appearance that these changes are little more than performative. The Rockies cannot bring themselves, either because of financial choices or team culture, to embrace anything new. The odds are they cannot win until they do.

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Down on the Farm

Twitter avatar for @FresnoGrizzliesFresno Grizzlies @FresnoGrizzlies

Celebrate #TacoTuesday by bidding on a game-worn, signed, Fresno Tacos jersey! 🌮⚾️ Enter the auction here: bit.ly/21TacoJerseyAu…

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9:46 PM ∙ Aug 31, 2021 * The crisis in MiLB housing is receiving more attention, this time from J.J. Cooper. It’s past time for MLB to deal with this issue.  * Nick Groke has some insights on the Rockies’ MiLB system. (Groke also has some reporting here on David Dahl, who, clearly, is no longer a prospect, but I found this really interesting.) * Don’t lose track of the Rockie’s Arizona Complex League team. Kyle Newman reports that the Rockies think Adael Amador and Benny Montgomery will be playing at Coors Field in four or five years. The future looks promising.


Accolades (and Some Gossip)

C.J. Cron has been named the August NL Player of the Month:

Source: MLB Press Release

Cron is the 11th Rockie to earn this award. (The most recent was Charlie Blackmon in June 2019.)

Last week, Bob Nightengale reported this:

Twitter avatar for @BNightengaleBob Nightengale @BNightengale

C.J. Cron, who turned down an offer from the #Dodgers during the winter and bet on himself to be an everyday player with the #Rockies, hits a 3-run HR in the 1st inning vs. LA. Cron now has 24 homers and 76 RBI with a .914 OPS

8:31 PM ∙ Aug 29, 2021

So Cron decided against being a Dodger, which is interesting — and suggests that perhaps the odds of the Rockies re-signing him are good. While Cron did sign a 2021 one-year contract for $1 million with the Rockies, it also includes incentives: He can earn additional performance bonuses: “$200,000 each for 50, 75, 100 and 125, and $300,000 apiece for 140 and 145. He would get a $500,000 one-time assignment bonus if traded.” Cron has been, hands down, one of the Rockies’ most valuable players and a terrific investment.


Old Friends

  • I’m still a Tyler Anderson fan, so a possible return to Seattle in 2022 sounds like a good fit to me, especially since fellow old friend Tom Murphy is catching there.

Twitter avatar for @CoreyBrockMLBCorey Brock @CoreyBrockMLB

Tyler Anderson loads the bases with no outs. Tyler Anderson retires the next three hitters. Tyler Anderson returns to Seattle in 2022.

9:06 PM ∙ Aug 28, 2021


  • Gerardo Parra is now selling a limited Parra Shark speaker. As the ad explains, “Be happy as long as you live!” You can read more here. (I was a little disappointed “Baby Shark” didn’t start auto-playing when I opened the website.)

What I’m Reading, Watching, and Listening To

  • Neil Paine’s “The Best, Worst And Weirdest Stats Of The 2021 MLB Season”(538.com) — You knew the #RoadRockies would make this one, but so do Ryan McMahon and Raimel Tapia. (Here’s an early prediction: The Rockies will attempt to trade and then non-tender Tapia.)
  • Patrick Saunders’ “Will the Rockies Be Spenders This Offseason? Colorado Faces Major Payroll Questions with Contracts Coming off the Books” (Denver Post) — Saunders does the math. (Here’s another prediction: The Rockies will go to shorter but more lucrative contracts, like the Daniel Murphy deal. No more Ian Desmond or Nolan Arenado long-term commitments.) 
  • Joelle Milholm’s “September Could Be a Good Indicator of the Rockies’ Future”(Purple Row) — For Milholm, September will be more meaningful than the Rockies’ record in the next 30 games.
  • Justin Wick’s “Austin Gomber Has Shown a Wild Pitch Mix in His Last Three Starts” (Purple Row) — I remain bullish on Gomber as a Rockie. I’ve come to suspect that part of Gomber’s issues arise from the fatigue of this being his first season as a rotation starter.
  • Drew Goodman’s “Rockies Starter Austin Gomber” (The Drew Goodman Podcast) — I always appreciate Goodman’s podcast because I think players are comfortable with him, and they have very honest conversation. Last week, Goodman spoke with Gomber, and the week before, Kyle Freeland. Both pitchers are clear about one thing: They believe the Rockies are close. Much of the baseball world may not believe in the Rockies, but I think they believe in themselves — and I think the front office will spend some money in the offseason to show they do, too.
  • Robert Murray’s “St. Louis Discussed Perameters of Trevor Story Trade” (Redbird Rants) — Cardinal fans’ fixation on reconstructing the Rockies’ former left side is fascinating. Were Arenado and Story an electric combination? Absolutely. Are their best days behind them? Very probably. Here’s what Murray writes: “Story could be a candidate for a lucrative one-year deal similar to what Semien signed with the Blue Jays. A one-year, $18 or so million deal could stretch the books for the Cardinals in 2022, but that and other upgrades throughout the roster would give them a real chance at competing for a title in Yadier Molina’s last season.” Maybe. Consider me skeptical.

Weekend Walk-off

There has not been a lot of joy this season for the #RoadRockies, and that’s been true for Trevor Story, too, who’s had a down year.

However, his bat flip game is a thing of beauty. See for yourself:

Twitter avatar for @RockiesColorado Rockies @Rockies

@PurpleRow we got you :)

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2:13 AM ∙ Aug 31, 2021

His bat flips have become their own art form.

Thanks for reading —

Renee

@307Renee

1 This data is current as of September 2, 2021.